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matchups · week 9 · this week

Week 9

This week's games and each side's chance to win.

the model's odds before kickoff
the model's odds before kickoff
the model's odds before kickoff
the model's odds before kickoff

Three ways to set your lineup as of Nov 4, 8:25 pm · against Cosmic Badgers

This week all three agree:the lineup with the most expected points is also the best bet against Cosmic Badgers and against the median.

SlotMost expected points
168.4 points · 43% to win · 54% to beat the median
Best chance to win the game
168.4 points · 43% to win · 54% to beat the median
Best chance to beat the median
168.4 points · 43% to win · 54% to beat the median
DBBudda BakerBudda BakerBudda Baker
DLBoye MafeBoye MafeBoye Mafe
FLEXChristian WatsonChristian WatsonChristian Watson
FLEXJalen CokerJalen CokerJalen Coker
FLEXMalik WashingtonMalik WashingtonMalik Washington
KWill ReichardWill ReichardWill Reichard
LBBlake CashmanBlake CashmanBlake Cashman
QBJayden DanielsJayden DanielsJayden Daniels
RBJahmyr GibbsJahmyr GibbsJahmyr Gibbs
RBJavonte WilliamsJavonte WilliamsJavonte Williams
TETrey McBrideTrey McBrideTrey McBride
WRChris OlaveChris OlaveChris Olave
WROmar Cooper Jr.Omar Cooper Jr.Omar Cooper Jr.

Where this game is decided your lineup against Cosmic Badgers, slot by slot, before kickoff

SlotYoursChance yours scores moreTheirsShare of the uncertainty
RBJahmyr Gibbs 36.4 76% D'Andre Swift 21.6 17%
FLEXChristian Watson 11.1 17% Kenneth Walker III 29.4 13%
RBJavonte Williams 22.3 74% Rhamondre Stevenson 11.5 10%
QBJayden Daniels 20.5 44% Dak Prescott 22.9 10%
WRChris Olave 13.9 32% Puka Nacua 21.3 9%
FLEXJalen Coker 9.8 45% Travis Kelce 11.4 7%
DLBoye Mafe 8.0 46% Greg Rousseau 9.3 6%
LBBlake Cashman 10.5 40% Nick Bolton 13.6 5%
TETrey McBride 10.8 58% Kyle Pitts Sr. 8.4 5%
FLEXMalik Washington 8.8 52% Xavier Worthy 8.2 5%
WROmar Cooper Jr. 8.8 49% Rome Odunze 9.0 5%
KWill Reichard 13.0 48% Brandon Aubrey 13.4 4%
DBBudda Baker 7.5 39% Travis Hunter 10.3 4%

The biggest shares are where this game is most likely won or lost. The pairing is only a presentation: nobody's quarterback plays the other quarterback.